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raiders72001
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   Posted 8/12/2005 3:46 AM (GMT -5)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
2005 NFL Preseason Football Handicapping

Current NFL Head Coaches

Here is a list of some of the coaches we'll be keeping our eye on during the preseason due to their tendencies & other factors. All results are against the spread during preseason games unless otherwise noted:

Jim Mora Jr. (Atlanta Falcons) A rookie head coach in 2004 and the Falcons only went 2-2 ATS. Of note, both home games were lopsided wins (weeks 2 and 3) and both road games were blowout losses (0-24 and 0-27). The Falcons play 3 road games this year including the opener in Japan. The 0-27 loss came against the Redskins in week 4 and Mora has nothing to prove this year after reaching the Conference Championship game last season. Also, Vick needed reps in the West Coast offense last preseason and that's not the case headed into 2005.

Bill Parcells (Dallas Cowboys) Parcells made his Dallas debut in 2003 and is 5-3-0 ATS. Of note, at home he's 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS during those 2 seasons. Over the course of his career his teams have covered +65% of their preseason games. Dallas should offer better value after a subpar 2004 season.

John Fox (Carolina Panthers) Hard to argue with his success. He's 10-2 ATS since taking over in 2002 and a perfect 8-0 ATS the past 2 seasons combined. Carolina is coming off year where they stormed back in the 2nd half of the season and nearly earned a playoff berth. Fox and this team may come into the preseason hungry.

Dom Capers (Houston Texans) It's hard to trust Capers in the preseason based on his past record. The last 3 seasons they are 3-10 ATS with 7 double digit losses. Close losses are one thing but blowout losses are a sign of a coach that doesn't care about preseason results.

Nick Saban (Miami Dolphins) A rookie NFL head coach and we'll see how motivated he is to prove himself in the pros. Miami was bit by injuries, misadventures, and poor offense in 2004 so we may see a motivated bunch this preseason. Interesting situations in the Hall Of Fame opener vs Chicago and their final preseason game at home to Atlanta.

Jim Haslett (New Orleans Saints) Became the head coach in 2000. The Saints have been very unreliable in the favorite role and are 2-7-0 ATS when laying points the past 5 preseasons.

Jeff Fisher (Tennessee Titans) Fisher's 1st full year with the Titans was 1995. In his first 3 seasons he had a poor 2-8-1 preseason record. But since 1998 the Titans are an impressive 20-7-1 ATS and of note they are 10-1-0 ATS in the underdog role. Fisher's competitive nature may be a big part of those numbers.

Post Edited (raiders72001) : 8/13/2005 4:48:55 AM (GMT-4)

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bigboydan
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   Posted 8/12/2005 3:51 AM (GMT -5)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
yet another reason to avoid betting preseason. coaches seem to be more gutsy persay. and go for the 2 point conversions,on side kicks early in the game, fake punts,ect,ect which could kill you.


a good capper is only as good as his info.

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raiders72001
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   Posted 8/13/2005 4:48 AM (GMT -5)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
Record for current coach. If he coached only one year then it shows the 2004 record.

Ari Dennis Green 2004 2-2 ATS
Atl Jim Mora 2004 2-2 ATS
Bal Billick 13-8 Last 5 years
Buf Mularkey 2004 3-1 ATS
Car 11-9 L5 years
Chi Smith 2004 2-2
Cinc 3-5 L2
Dal Parcels 5-3 L2, 9-3 in 1997-99 with Jets
Den 14-6-1 L5
Det Mariucci 3-5 L2, 10-16-1 with SF
GB Sherman 10-9-1
Hou Capers 3-10
Indy Dungy 11-10
Jax Del Rio 6-6
KC Vermeil 8-7-1
Miami Saban rookie coach
Minn Tice 10-6
NE Belichick 13-7
NO Haslett 8-11-1
Giants Coughlin 2004 1-3, 17-14-2 with Jax
Jets Edwards 11-6
Oak Turner 2-2 2004
Phil Reid 8-11
Pitts Cowher 10-10-1
Stl Martz 8-11
SD Schott 5-7 L3
SF Nolan Rookie
Sea Holgrem 7-13
TB Gruden 7-5-1
Tenn 15-4-1
Wash Gibbs 3-2 2004, 28-19-2 with Was
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raiders72001
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   Posted 8/13/2005 5:09 AM (GMT -5)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
From 2000-2004 Dogs are 169-140-6 ATS but were only 28-36 in 2004

Post Edited (raiders72001) : 8/13/2005 5:15:14 AM (GMT-4)

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raiders72001
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   Posted 8/13/2005 5:27 AM (GMT -5)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
Dogs getting more than 3 are 94-63 from 200-2004 in 2004 they were 12-14.
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RPM
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   Posted 8/13/2005 7:38 AM (GMT -5)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
interesting stat raiders...
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