The Offshore Wire Forum

The Offshore Wire Forum > Handicapping and free plays > Baseball picks and discussion > Dog Formula Tues 8/30, +3.19 units Mon

Forum Quick Jump

[ << Previous Thread | Next Thread >> | Show Newest Post First ]

raiders72001
Registered Member

Date Joined Mar 2005
Total Posts : 1210

Posted 8/30/2005 3:22 AM (GMT -5)

Plays for:
Tues August 30

Dogs Formula:
YTD Performance:
+ 0.44 units (based on 1 unit per play)

Yesterday's Recap:
+ 3.19 units (based on 1 unit per play)

American League:
--Texas won
--Oakland won in 12 innings
--Detroit lost

National League:
--Florida lost
--Washington was rained out
--Arizona won
--Los Angeles won

Game Times are Eastern Standard

Dog Plays are in CAPS

----------------------------------------------------

Dogs Formula

See below for our line grading policy. It will explain how we are coming up with our official plays each day and how we are grading our official plays. Or re-read the "Dogs Line Policy" email that was sent out.

===========

Notes:

If you're not walking around in knee deep water in your house or apartment today, say a prayer of thanks. Thousands of people in the New Orleans/ Mississippi/ Alabama area are not so fortunate.

----

Jeff Suppan was 10-1 on the road last year for St. Louis. Chris Carpenter is now 11-0 on the road this year.

-----

The Dodgers are now just 4 1/2 games out. Too bad for them that they didn't play just a little bit better this year. Had Gagne stayed healthy, perhaps they might have won the division. It's not over yet, but the odds are against them with Gagne and JD Drew out.

================

Final Line Grading Policy for Marginal Dogs:

In the event that the play changes from the overnight newsletter, the closing line at Wagerline.com will be used to grade the game:
http://www.wagerline.com/mlb.asp

The exception to this is if Wagerline mistakenly posts no line for the game (NL) or when Wagerline mistakenly posts the game twice. In such cases, Pinnacle's closing line will be used as an emergency backup source.

When we refer to "Pinnacle's closing line," we're referring to the posted closing line at theRx.com for the line from Pinnacle sportsbook that is that webpage.

Here's where you will find those emergency backup closing lines:
http://lines.therx.com/livelines/lines.html?sport=mlb&refresh=0.=0

================

Check out the underdog lines at Bowmans.com and Pinnacle to improve your results.

American League:

Chicago @ TEXAS +??? (line is currently off the board), 5PM...The Rangers mission should they accept: beat Garland, after pulling a big upset against Buerhle yesterday. Maybe it will rain in Arlington...
CWS: J. Garland (16-7, 3.28)
TEX: J. Benoit (3-4, 3.56)

Game 2 of Chicago/ Texas (8:30PM estimated start) - there may be a play. We will need some stats from Game 1 before we know for sure. Either way, we'll notify at the conclusion of Game 1.
CWS: B. McCarthy (0-1, 8.14)
TEX: E. Volquez (0-0, 0.00)

DETROIT +156 @ Cleveland, 7PM...Tigers have been pussy cats since the All-Star Break. That's a polite way of putting it. Indians are not taken very seriously in the baseball world, but given their light schedule in September, they still could surprise in the AL Wild Card race. They should have no problem lighting up the scoreboard -everyone does against these Cats.
DET: M. Maroth (11-12, 4.98)
CLE: C. Lee (14-4, 3.93)

OAKLAND +111 @ Los Angeles, 10PM...Quite a series it should be in Orange County. Angels laid an egg in Tampa Bay - who incidentally is 27-15 the past 42 games. That could end up haunting the Angels and keeping them out of the playoffs. Angels also lost 4 at home to Seattle just before the All-Star Break. They have a habit of losing to the losing teams. Not conducive to making the playoffs.
OAK: B. Zito (12-10, 3.49)
LAA: B. Colón (17-6, 3.34)

National League:

PHILADELPHIA +124 @ New York Mets, 1PM...Phillies tough schedule begins here. Seo's numbers are unreal. In 1999, Sports Illustrated had Kurt Warner of the Rams on the cover with the caption, "Who is this guy?" Seems like a fitting caption under Seo's picture. Phils are about to find out.
PHI: R. Tejeda (4-3, 3.20)
NYM: J. Seo (6-1, 1.30)

WASHINGTON +131 @ Atlanta, 7:30PM...OK, let's try it again today.
WAS: J. Patterson (8-4, 2.43)
ATL: J. Sosa (9-2, 2.56)

LOS ANGELES +157 @ Chicago, 8PM...Pitching matchup on paper does not intimidate so much, but we would bet the City Hall that the Dodgers will have trouble with Prior (just our opinion). They scored 9 runs yesterday, so they've reached their weekly quota for runs scored.
LAD: B. Penny (6-8, 3.75)
CHC: M. Prior (9-5, 3.68)

ARIZONA +177 @ San Diego, 10PM...This Padre team is quite the enigma. They had one of the best records in the Bigs earlier this season for awhile. Peavy is their top gun, however.

Here's an interesting side note on San Diego: The Braves have had all sorts of trouble with the Padres this year, and have only beaten them once. There is an excellent chance they will meet in the first round of the playoffs. So, as bad has the Padres have been, they might actually have a chance to advance to the NL Championship Series if they were to continue to play the Braves well.
ARI: R. Ortiz (4-8, 6.95)
SD: W. Williams (6-10, 5.14)

onlòóker
Registered Member

Date Joined Jul 2005
Total Posts : 2950

Posted 8/30/2005 3:26 AM (GMT -5)

Monday was nice to this formula, looks good Raiders.

asabace
Registered Member

Date Joined Jul 2005
Total Posts : 223

Posted 8/30/2005 11:10 AM (GMT -5)

hey raiders you def are the numbers man, im wondering if you have any stats for records of teams that are coming back from a lengthy road trip..(minimum 6 games)...and what their record is the first game they play at home after the road trip

just curious, ive noticed in most cases its a loss but would like to know the numbers...this is common in hockey after a 4 or 5 game road trip.

raiders72001
Registered Member

Date Joined Mar 2005
Total Posts : 1210

Posted 8/30/2005 2:58 PM (GMT -5)

I don't have the numbers on that but I think that your assumption is correct. I saw that stat someplace else and they said it was profitable.

Forum Information

Currently it is Wednesday, November 23, 2005 10:13 AM (GMT -5)
There are a total of 34,130 posts in 4,387 threads.
In the last 3 days there were 112 new threads and 520 reply posts. View Active Threads