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raiders72001
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Date Joined Mar 2005
Total Posts : 1221
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Posted 9/1/2005 5:02 AM (GMT -5) |
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Plays for:
Thurs Sept. 1
Dogs Formula:
YTD Performance:
+ 1.85 units (based on 1 unit per play)
Yesterday's Recap:
+ 0.89 units (based on 1 unit per play)
American League:
--Chicago, not Texas, was the game time dog at Wagerline and they lost
--Detroit won
--Oakland lost - a critical win for the Angels, who desperately needed that one. A's had excellent chance in the 8th inning with the bases loaded.
National League:
--Washington lost (game 1 of DH)
--Washington won (game 2 of DH) -- thank you Mr. Reitsma.
--Arizona lost
--Los Angeles was the game time dog at Wagerline and they won
--St. Louis won
Game Times are Eastern Standard
Dog Plays are in CAPS
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Dogs Formula
See below for our line grading policy. It will explain how we are coming up with our official plays each day and how we are grading our official plays. Or re-read the "Dogs Line Policy" email that was sent out.
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Notes:
Our biggest surprise of the day was the White Sox loss. They have been strangely erratic lately. It could be a late season funk, which hits even good teams in August and can even strike in September (Yankees a few years ago lost 7 straight in very late September, then went on to win the World Series).
Buehrle claims Texas is cheating at home by picking up signs. Maybe, maybe not, but if Texas is cheating, their home record is not all that eye-opening, so they aren't very good cheaters if that's the case.
Memo to Bobby Cox: You tried Kolb, he was a disaster. Reitsma is not much better. As shocking as it is for us to say this (given how many games he blew on last season with Chicago), your best bet at closer is Kyle Farnsworth right now. But jeez, that guy makes us nervous. Or kidnap Chad Cordero and put him in a Braves uniform.
Cordero's ERA is 0.94. That's almost like a high school pitcher going up against little leaguers. He's a stud.
---
We've never mentioned this before, but big props to Julio Franco, who is 47 years old, and keeps on going for the Braves. When you're kid a 47-year-old is a fossil.
There are rookies on the Braves that weren't even born yet when Franco was playing in the Major Leagues.
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Final Line Grading Policy for Marginal Dogs:
In the event that the play changes from the overnight newsletter, the closing line at Wagerline.com will be used to grade the game:
http://www.wagerline.com/mlb.asp
The exception to this is if Wagerline mistakenly posts no line for the game (NL) or when Wagerline mistakenly posts the game twice. In such cases, Pinnacle's closing line will be used as an emergency backup source.
When we refer to "Pinnacle's closing line," we're referring to the posted closing line at theRx.com for the line from Pinnacle sportsbook that is that webpage.
Here's where you will find those emergency backup closing lines:
http://lines.therx.com/livelines/lines.html?sport=mlb&refresh=0.=0
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Check out the underdog lines at Bowmans.com and Pinnacle to improve your results.
American League:
BALTIMORE +114 @ Toronto, 7PM...We'll go out on a limb and say there won't be a no-hitter in this game.
The Orioles have officially swooned. Their annual late-season collapsed started prematurely this year. They should have used the Sammy Sosa money on good pitching.
BAL: H. Penn (2-2, 6.75)
TOR: D. McGowan (1-2, 8.38)
DETROIT +158 @ Chicago, 8PM...Tigers have struggled as a dog as of late, and it is our subjective opinion that they're going to face the wrath of the White Sox in this series. If they don't, then something is up with the Sox.
DET: S. Douglass (5-2, 5.58)
CWS: J. Contreras (9-7, 4.07)
OAKLAND +122 @ Los Angeles, 10PM...A's system keeps churning out good pitchers. Make no mistake, if they make the playoffs, it will be because of their pitching, and not their offense. Rubber game of this all-important series. We've got the pitching edge here.
OAK: J. Kennedy (3-0, 2.74)
LAA: E. Santana (7-6, 4.94)
National League:
PHILADELPHIA +112 @ New York, 1PM...Mets have a brutal road trip coming up, and they need this one more than the Phillies do. Trachsel pitched very well last time out. Lieber started the season so well, but has not been the same. Phillies' bullpen makes any game a 6 inning game- if they can get out in front and hold it until the late innings, they have a very good chance of winning.
PHI: J. Lieber (12-12, 4.81)
NYM: S. Trachsel (1-0, 0.00)
WASHINGTON +207 @ Atlanta, 7:30PM...Smoltz has seen 13 consecutive divisional titles. He's a proven winner, and is unflappable. Armas wins on the road about as often as the Space Shuttle goes into orbit. Odds are against us, but the Braves have only been a .500 team the past couple weeks. So, it's not a slam dunk for them.
WAS: T. Armas (7-7, 4.53)
ATL: J. Smoltz (13-6, 2.96)
San Diego @ MILWAUKEE +110, 8PM...Brew Crew is playing for pride, but the future is looking better in Milwaukee. Padres could be surprisingly tough in a short series in the playoffs with Peavy going twice and with Eaton.
SD: A. Eaton (9-3, 3.86)
MIL: R. Helling (1-0, 4.63) |
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RPM
Welcome to TOW
  
Date Joined Jul 2005
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Posted 9/1/2005 5:07 AM (GMT -5) |
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